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The Russian invasion of
Georgia has been in the headlines this past week and would
be a welcome respite from the daily back and forth
presidential election bickering if it weren’t for the fact
that the winner of the election is going to have to deal
with Russia and Vladimir Putin’s territorial designs on his
neighbors.
A couple of weeks ago I wrote
about the Russians and their claim on the North Pole, as
well as some of Putin’s actions that have turned him into a
de facto dictator. The invasion of Georgia has been
planned for a long time, given the size of the force that
thundered into the tiny Republic on the day the Olympics
opened. The Russians stirred up separatist feelings in the
breakaway region of
South Ossetia and handed out Russian
passports to anyone who wanted one. That gave them the
excuse that they were merely protecting their citizens,
rather than invading a sovereign nation.
David b. Rivkin Jr.
and Lee a. Casey wrote last week,
“The language of
"protection" was once a favorite pretext for Tsarist
expansion in the 19th century. It is also the same rationale
that Germany offered for absorbing the Sudetenland in 1938.
The Kremlin's current claims are no more credible than its
tattered justifications for invading Hungary in 1956,
Czechoslovakia in 1968, and Afghanistan in 1979. Russian
assertions that Georgian forces provoked the conflict by
attacking Russian troops call to mind Hitler's story that
his 1939 invasion of Poland was justified by Polish attacks
on Germans. This is particularly ironic, given the Kremlin's
penchant for comparing Georgian President Mikheil
Saakashvili to Adolf Hitler.” At the moment, Russian forces
are in the middle of Georgia and the world has been assured
that they are pulling out of the country. TV crews on the
scene are reporting that the Russians are not going
anywhere. Many expect this adventure to be a foretaste of
invasions to come. I think Putin wants to retake all the
former Soviet satellites that were lost when the USSR
collapsed.
Russia has lots of oil these days, and as a result, plenty
of money to fund its military adventurism. It was the lack
of money and no way of getting any under the communist
system that caused the USSR to implode. With the price of
oil as it is, Russia has more power than ever. Western
Europe and many former Soviet satellite nations are
dependent on Russia for their winter heating fuel—Russian
gas. Putin thinks he can keep those countries in line
because he controls the flow of gas.
Georgian ports
on the Black Sea are a main shipping point of Caspian Sea
crude from Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. More
than 500,000 barrels leave these ports daily, and plans are
afoot to expand capacity by an additional 200,000 barrels a
day. If Russia occupies Georgia, it will have control of
even more of the world’s oil.
There really isn’t much the
U.S. can do to stop Russian imperialism militarily, but
there are several other things that can be done to make them
regret (a little) their actions. I don’t think this is a one
time action and I believe that the Russians will continue to
invade its neighbors. It is imperative that we have someone
in the White House with a clue about what to do and how to
handle the Russians. President Bush knows what he’s doing
but he will be out come January.
Clearly, there is only one
candidate who has the experience and background to deal with
the Russians. Indeed, there is only one candidate with
any experience for that matter. On the job training for
the most important job in the world isn’t an acceptable
option. |